Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Recent Second Serve Performance: In the past six months, Fokina has exhibited an impressive second serve performance, winning 50.41% of points, while Arnaldi has slightly surpassed this with a 51.42% success rate. It is worth noting that there exists a noteworthy correlation between this particular statistic and the accuracy of match predictions.

Recent Return Game Stats: Analyzing return game statistics in recent form, Fokina has displayed remarkable proficiency by winning 54.33% of their opponent's second serve points. In contrast, Arnaldi has attained a solid 46.06% success rate in this category. The numbers for first serve returns are also telling, with Fokina securing 29.59% and Arnaldi not far behind with 30.17%. These statistics bear a substantial correlation to determine the favored player in this highly-anticipated head-to-head match.

Under Pressure Analysis: When it comes to handling pressure situations, Fokina has successfully saved 61.18% of breakpoints in recent form. Nonetheless, Arnaldi exhibits remarkable resilience by saving 64.65% of breakpoints, making it a stat of great utility for predicting in-game betting outcomes.

Performance Overview: Examining their overall performance in the past year, we find that Fokina has achieved a 50% match win rate with a balanced record of 23 wins and 23 losses (W/L), while Arnaldi boasts a slightly higher success rate of 51.92% with 27 wins and 25 losses (W/L). These figures provide us with a comprehensive head-to-head prediction overview.

Surface Specialization: Fokina has demonstrated their expertise on hard courts, garnering an impressive 61% win rate (W/L: 123/79). However, their performance on grass courts is comparatively weaker, with a win rate of 43% (W/L: 10/13). On the other hand, Arnaldi thrives on clay courts, boasting a remarkable win rate of 66% (W/L: 125/64), but struggles on indoor hard courts with a win rate of 41% (W/L: 15/22).

Player Level: Evaluating the level at which these players compete, we find that Fokina has primarily participated in matches on the main tour, achieving a 50% win rate (W/L: 12/12). Conversely, Arnaldi has predominantly featured in the Masters series, culminating in a commendable 55% win rate (W/L: 11/9). It is important to consider these discrepancies in event levels when assessing player stats and predicting the favorite.

Direct H2H Matches: Fokina and Arnaldi have clashed twice in the past, resulting in Fokina failing to secure a victory on either occasion, while Arnaldi triumphed twice. The number of sets played amounts to five, with Fokina claiming one victory and Arnaldi prevailing in four. Their most recent encounter took place at the Dallas Open - Dallas on 06-02-2025, with Matteo Arnaldi dominating the match with a convincing 6-1, 6-3 victory.

Head-to-Head Match Duration: On average, the matches contested between these players have lasted approximately 1 hour and 51 minutes.

Deciding Set H2H Prediction: Interestingly, Fokina and Arnaldi have never faced a deciding set against each other. While Fokina has yet to emerge victorious in such situations, Arnaldi also lacks any wins in deciding sets. This information is invaluable in predicting the outcome should this match extend to a fifth set.

Head-to-Head Extreme Pressure Situations: To date, the players have encountered one tiebreaker, and in that instance, Arnaldi emerged triumphant while Fokina fell short.

Opponent Quality Stats: Over the past year, Fokina has encountered opponents with an average rank of 201.76, while Arnaldi has faced players with a lower average rank of 161.85.

Deciding Set Performance vs. All Players: If one is intrigued by live predictions and betting, Fokina has proven proficient in deciding sets, winning 50% of such sets over the past year. On the other hand, Arnaldi has achieved a 37% success rate in all matches played on tour.

Current Event H2H Stats: Although past performance is indeed a valuable indicator when predicting tennis matches, it is equally important to consider their current performance in the ongoing event. Please refer to the section below for an analysis of their recent matches in this specific tournament. It should also be noted that certain players often excel in particular events, making it crucial to factor in this aspect when forecasting the final outcome.

Break Point Conversion: In their recent performances, Fokina has capitalized on 48.1% of breakpoint opportunities, while Arnaldi boasts a 41.75% conversion rate in terms of seizing the chance to break their opponents' serve. This statistic proves pivotal when making live betting decisions, particularly when a player finds themselves with a breakpoint opportunity.

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